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Futures schools of thought within the integral futures framework

机译:整体期货框架内的期货思想流派

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Purpose - This paper aims to expand on the findings of the SOPIFFproject by identifying eight futuresrnschools of thought, and then analyze and critique these through the integral futures (IF) framework. Thisrnpaper, Part I, also aims to focus on the upper quadrants of the IF framework.rnDesign/methodology/approach - The paper adapts Wilber's integral theory to clarify variousrnphilosophical orientations towards the future. It also adapts Polak's approach to futures as a matter ofrn"social critique and reconstruction"; however, here the approach is global, civilizational, and integral, sornit proposes civilizational critique and integral reconstruction as a method for evaluating futures schoolsrnof thought.rnFindings - The IF framework has proved to be a valuable theoretical and analytical tool since it clarifiesrnnot only orientations to the future but also demonstrates the dynamic lines of development andrninteractions throughout all four quadrants, illustrating how the four-quadrant approach is an effectivernframework for understanding the crisis of civilization and the response needed at this time in history tornbring about a preferred future.rnResearch implications/limitations - The paper draws and expands upon the findings of the SOPIFFrnproject as a way to better understand the "global problematique." Thus, this paper suggests somernimplications of that research and proposes the integral futures framework as a way to interpret researchrnfindings. Future research should attempt to develop and apply the IF framework similarly in order tornrealize a sustainable, integrally-informed image of the future of human civilization.rnPractical implications - An integrally-informed approach to futures and foresight studies should helprndevelop and improve futures methodology/practices in general. The IF framework helps to understandrnphilosophical orientations underlying practices and applications.rnOriginality/value - This application of the IF framework to various mainstream futures schools ofrnthought is original. It should help futurists to see and interpret the bigger picture regarding images of thernfuture in a civilizational context by revealing the "crack" in the modern image of the future, how it relatesrnto the current world crisis, and what is needed to heal the crack so that a new, more integrally-informed,rnsustainable image of the future can emerge.
机译:目的-本文旨在通过确定8个未来思想流派,然后通过整体未来(IF)框架对这些流派进行分析和批评,以扩展SOPIFF项目的发现。本文的第一部分还旨在关注IF框架的上象限。设计/方法论/方法-本文采用了Wilber的积分理论来阐明未来的各种哲学取向。它也根据“社会批判和重建”问题来适应波拉克对期货的态度;然而,这里的方法是全球性的,文明的和整体的,sornit提出了文明的批判和整体的重建,作为评估未来派学校思想的一种方法。rn发现-IF框架已被证明是一种有价值的理论和分析工具,因为它不仅阐明了发展方向。未来,但也展示了所有四个象限中发展和互动的动态路线,说明了四象限方法如何有效地理解了文明危机以及历史上此时此刻需要对首选未来进行研究所需的应对措施。局限性-本文借鉴并扩展了SOPIFFrn项目的发现,以更好地理解“全球问题”。因此,本文提出了该研究的一些启示,并提出了整体期货框架作为解释研究结果的一种方式。未来的研究应尝试类似地开发和应用IF框架,以实现人类文明未来的可持续的,全面信息化的图像。rn实用意义-面向未来和远见的综合信息方法应有助于开发和改进未来的方法论/实践一般来说。 IF框架有助于理解实践和应用程序背后的哲学取向。原始性/价值-IF框架在各种思想主流主流学校中的这种应用是原始的。它应该通过揭示未来现代形象中的“裂缝”,它与当前的世界危机有何关系以及如何治愈裂缝来帮助未来主义者在文明背景下看到和解释有关未来图像的更大图景。可以出现一个新的,更全面的,可持续的未来形象。

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