• 主题
高级搜索  >
历史搜索 清空历史
首页> 外文期刊>Foresight >The use of uncertain scenarios in disaster risk reduction: a systematic review
【24h】

The use of uncertain scenarios in disaster risk reduction: a systematic review

机译：减少灾害风险中不确定的情景：系统评价

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例
           
页面导航
  • 摘要
  • 著录项
  • 相似文献
  • 相关主题

摘要

Purpose - In recent years, futures study methods, especially scenario analysis, are used to plan for disaster and emergency management. Scenario method is suitable for public level policy making. Scenarios generated alternative descriptive futures in all of the development field such as disaster studies. This paper aims to systematically review the articles that generated scenarios in disaster management to attain gaps, challenges and opportunities related to use of scenario analysis in disasters. Design/methodology/approach - This is a systematic review that was conducted based on the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. The keywords that searched included "disaster," "emergency," "crisis," "disruptive event," "futures study," "foresight," "scenario," "community-based scenario planning," "participatory scenario planning," "scenario planning" and "scenario analysis." The Google Scholar, ISI Web of Science, Science Direct, PubMed and Scopus databases were searched. Findings - A total of 981 article gathered after initial search between electronic databases. At final step, only ten articles included in the study. The selected articles compared according to many aspects. Most of the scenarios that developed in disaster management and planning concentrated on climate change and flooding related hazards. Many of studies developed three or four scenarios that it seems the number is suitable for disaster planning. Originality/value - The paper serves as an original guideline for disaster planning.
机译：目的 - 近年来，期货研究方法，特别是情景分析，用于计划灾难和应急管理。场景方法适用于公共级别政策制定。情景在灾害研究等所有开发领域产生了替代描述期货。本文旨在系统地审查灾害管理中产生情景的文章，以获得与灾害中的情况分析的使用情况相关的差距，挑战和机会。设计/方法/方法 - 这是一个系统审查，该审查是根据系统性评测和荟萃分析（PRISMA）指南的首选报告项目进行的。搜索的关键字包括“灾难”，“紧急情况”，“危机”，“中断事件”，“期货研究”，“远见，”“情景”，“社区的场景规划”“参与式场景规划”，“参与式场景规划”“场景规划“和”情景分析“。搜索了谷歌学者，科学，科学直接，PUBMED和SCOPUS数据库的ISI网站。调查结果 - 在电子数据库之间初始搜索后，共收集的981条。在最后一步，在研究中只有十个文章。根据许多方面比较了所选文章。在灾害管理和规划中开发的大多数情景集中在气候变化和洪水相关危险。许多研究开发了三种或四种情景，似乎数字适合灾害计划。原创性/值 - 该文件用作灾害计划的原始指南。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱：kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备：11010802029741号 ICP备案号：京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有

  • 客服微信

  • 服务号