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Forest Degradation and Economic Growth in Nepal, 2003-2010

机译:2003-2010年尼泊尔的森林退化和经济增长

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摘要

We investigate the relation between economic growth, household firewood collection, and forest conditions in Nepal between 2003 and 2010. Comovements in these are examined at the household and village levels, combining satellite imagery and household (Nepal Living Standard Measurement Survey) data. Projections of the impact of economic growth based on Engel curves turn out to be highly inaccurate: forest conditions remained stable despite considerable growth in household consumption and income. Firewood collections at the village level remained stable, as effects of demographic growth were offset by substantial reductions in per household collections. Households substituted firewood by alternative energy sources, particularly when livestock and farm-based occupations declined in importance. Engel curve specifications which include household productive assets (a proxy for occupational patterns) provide more accurate predictions. Hence structural changes accompanying economic growth play an important role in offsetting adverse environmental consequences of growth.
机译:我们调查了2003年至2010年期间尼泊尔的经济增长,家庭柴火收集和森林状况之间的关系。结合卫星图像和家庭数据(尼泊尔生活水平测量调查),对家庭和村庄层面的共同活动进行了研究。根据恩格尔曲线对经济增长的影响的预测结果非常不准确:尽管家庭消费和收入有了相当大的增长,但森林状况仍然稳定。村庄一级的柴火收集保持稳定,因为人口增长的影响被每户家庭收集的大量减少所抵消。家庭用替代能源替代柴火,尤其是当牲畜和农场职业的重要性下降时。包含家庭生产性资产(代表职业模式)的恩格尔曲线规格可提供更准确的预测。因此,伴随经济增长的结构性变化在抵消增长对环境的不利影响方面起着重要作用。

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