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The Dynamic Relationship between Temperature and Morbidity

机译:温度与发病率的动态关系

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This paper examines the relationship between temperature and hospital usage with a focus on the role of behavioral responses to temperature. I use high-frequency data on the near universe of hospital and emergency department (ED) visits in California between 2005 and 2014 to estimate the effects of temperature on hospital usage patterns. I find that a day with mean temperature under 40°F leads to a 6.1% decrease in ED visits on the day of the event but that total net visits increase by approximately 11.0% above the daily mean after accounting for visits in the weeks that follow. Additionally, I find that a day over 80°F is associated with a same-day increase in ED visits of 3.5% and a total net increase of 5.1%. For both cold and hot temperatures, I provide evidence of the mechanisms-whether biological or behavioral-that explain these patterns.
机译:本文研究温度与医院使用情况之间的关系,重点关注行为对温度的反应。我使用2005年至2014年间在加州医院和急诊室(ED)访问附近地区的高频数据来估算温度对医院使用模式的影响。我发现,平均温度低于40°F的一天会导致活动当天的ED访问减少6.1%,但考虑到随后几周的访问,总的净访问量比每日平均增加了约11.0% 。此外,我发现,超过80°F的一天会导致ED访问的当天增加3.5%,总净增加5.1%。对于冷热温度,我都提供了解释这些模式的机制的证据(无论是生物学的还是行为的)。

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