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Are we overconfident in executive overconfidence research? An examination of the convergent and content validity of extant unobtrusive measures

机译:我们对行政人员过度自信研究是否过度自信?对现存的非干扰性措施的收敛性和内容有效性的检验

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摘要

Building understanding of overconfident executives is central to a growing literature that spans a number of disciplines. Much of this research has utilized unobtrusive, or indirect, measures to assess executive overconfidence from secondary data sources. We analyze the convergent and content validity of seven extant unobtrusive measures of executive overconfidence. The results of our analyses indicate that these measures do not exhibit adequate convergence, suggesting that existing measures are not measuring the same construct. Further, we administer a sort task to academic colleagues to assess whether scholars believe that the seven measures are adequately assessing the intended construct The results of our sort task indicate that scholars did not categorize any of the seven measures as sufficient for measuring overconfidence. We conclude with suggestions for future research to address the inadequate convergent and content validity found in our assessment of extant measures of executive overconfidence.
机译:建立对过度自信的高管的理解对于跨越许多学科的不断增长的文献至关重要。这项研究中的大多数都采用了不引人注目的或间接的措施来评估来自二级数据源的执行人员过度自信。我们分析了行政人员过度自信的七个现存的,不引人注目的措施的收敛性和内容有效性。我们的分析结果表明,这些措施没有表现出足够的收敛性,表明现有措施并未衡量同一结构。此外,我们对学术同事执行一项排序任务,以评估学者是否认为这七个量度已充分评估了预期的构想。我们的排序任务的结果表明,学者们并未将这七个量度中的任何一项归类为足以衡量过度自信。最后,我们提出了针对未来研究的建议,以解决在评估执行者过度自信的现有措施时所发现的收敛性和内容有效性不足的问题。

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