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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Chinese political science >To Engage or Not to Engage? Explaining the Logic of the US's China Strategy in the Post-Cold War Era
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To Engage or Not to Engage? Explaining the Logic of the US's China Strategy in the Post-Cold War Era

机译：参与或不参与？ 解释美国中国战略在冷战后时代的逻辑

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摘要

The United States' (US) changing policy towards China has become one of the most attractive issues in contemporary international politics. To explore the reasons underlying these changes, existing studies adopt four schools of explanation, i.e., status competition, institutional competition, failure of engagement, and domestic factors. Each school provides valuable theoretical insights. However, existing studies have obvious problems with single attribution and, thus, fail to formulate a causal mechanism explaining the long-term trajectory of the US's China strategy. By recategorizing America's unilateral perception of China as reformist, revolutionary, status quo and positionalist, which extends beyond the revisionist-status quo dichotomy, this article develops a systemic explanatory model and process tracing of the transition of US's China policy during the post-Cold War period to explain the theoretical logic underlying the changes. This article argues that the positional change and the US's unilateral perception of China are the two main factors triggering changes in the US's China strategy. China's foreign behavior, as the intervening variable, strengthens or weakens the government's perception of China and, thus, determines the US's strategic choices, i.e., whether to pursue a policy of containment, competition, precaution, congagement, engagement, or accommodation. Four comparative case studies are presented to demonstrate how this article's explanatory model can be applied.
机译：美国（美国）改变中国政策已成为当代国际政治中最具吸引力的问题之一。为了探讨这些变化的潜在原因，现有研究采用四所解释学校，即现状竞争，制度竞争，参与失败和国内因素。每所学校都提供有价值的理论见解。然而，现有研究具有明显的问题，单一归属，因此，未能制定解释美国中国战略的长期轨迹的因果机制。通过将美国对中国的单侧看作是改革主义，革命，现状和定位主义者来说，延伸到了修正主义现状，这篇文章制定了一个系统解释模型和流程追踪，在冷战后期的中国政策转型期间解释改变的理论逻辑。本文认为，地点变化和美国对中国单侧的看法是引发美国中国战略变动的两个主要因素。中国的外国行为，作为干预变量，加强或削弱政府对中国的看法，从而决定了美国的战略选择，即，是否追求遏制，竞争，预防措施，结社，参与或住宿政策。提出了四种比较案例研究，以证明该文章的解释模型如何应用。

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