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Reduced caseloads improve probation outcomes

机译：案件量减少，改善缓刑结果

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Probation practitioners argue that large caseloads limit their effectiveness, but prior research has not supported that assertion. In fact, with exceptions, strong studies of small caseload intensive probation supervision have produced undesirable findings: no reduction in recidivism and increased technical revocations. However, probation standards and practices have changed considerably since this earlier research, suggesting that new studies may yield different results. This study introduced reduced caseloads (approximately 54 medium- to high-risk probationers per officer) into an agency with officers fully trained in implementing evidence-based practices, a combination of supervision strategies based on known predictors of criminal recidivism. We evaluated the intervention's effect on recidivism and technical revocations of probation using a quasi-experimental design (difference-in-differences). We used survival analysis to estimate that the smaller caseload reduced the rate of recidivism by roughly 30%; technical violations increased by 4%. We conclude that reduced caseloads in agencies using modern supervision practices reduce recidivism.View full textDownload full textKeywordsprobation, probation caseload size, quasi-experimental design, statistical analysisRelated var addthis_config = { ui_cobrand: "Taylor & Francis Online", services_compact: "citeulike,netvibes,twitter,technorati,delicious,linkedin,facebook,stumbleupon,digg,google,more", pubid: "ra-4dff56cd6bb1830b" }; Add to shortlist Link Permalink http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/0735648X.2012.679875
机译：缓刑实践者认为，大量案件限制了其效力，但先前的研究并未支持该主张。实际上，除了例外，对小案件密集型缓刑监督的深入研究产生了令人不快的发现：累犯没有减少，技术撤销也没有增加。但是，自这项较早的研究以来，缓刑标准和实践发生了很大变化，这表明新的研究可能会产生不同的结果。这项研究将减少的案件量（每名军官大约54名中到高风险缓刑犯）引入了经过充分培训以实施循证实践的军官的机构，该机构结合了基于已知犯罪累犯预测因素的监督策略。我们使用准实验设计（差异中的差异）评估了干预措施对累犯和缓刑技术撤销的影响。我们使用生存分析来估计，较小的案件量使再犯率降低了大约30％；技术违规行为增加了4％。我们得出的结论是，使用现代监督实践减少机构中的案件量可以减少累犯。 ，twitter，technorati，可口，linkedin，facebook，stumbleupon，digg，google，更多”，发布号：“ ra-4dff56cd6bb1830b”};添加到候选列表链接永久链接http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/0735648X.2012.679875

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