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The roles of capital and technological progress in Vietnam's economic growth

机译：资本和技术进步在越南经济增长中的作用

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Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to measure the contribution of capital formation, labor, and technological progress to the growth of the Vietnamese economy, the impact of economic reforms (dot moi) since the end of 1986, and the rates of returns to capital and labor. Design/methodologyapproach - Cobb-Douglas production functions are built for Vietnam's economy and then estimated using annual data for 1975-2005. Findings - The two major findings are that: technological progress was statistically absent in the growth of the Vietnamese economy throughout the period studied; and the most important source of economic growth is capital accumulation, accounting for between 84 percent and 89 percent of Vietnamese economic growth throughout the period 1975-2005, and between 85 percent and 90 percent in the reform period (1986-2005). Originality/value - This paper is the first of its kind in the Vietnamese literature that successfully sheds light on, among other things, the roles of capital and technological progress in the Vietnamese economy during the period 1975-2005. It also makes clear that Vietnam's economic growth has been fueled mainly by foreign funds and, thus, the continued heavy reliance of the economy on this financial source will make its growth unsustainable. In order to achieve sustainable growth in the coming decades, Vietnam must shift to rely more on productivity growth, which has been absent so far, and less on factor accumulation growth.
机译：目的-本文的目的是衡量资本形成，劳动力和技术进步对越南经济增长的贡献，自1986年底以来经济改革的影响（dot moi）以及对越南的回报率。资本和劳动力。设计/方法学方法-为越南的经济建立Cobb-Douglas生产函数，然后使用1975-2005年的年度数据进行估算。调查结果-两个主要发现是：在整个研究期间，越南经济的增长在统计上没有技术进步；经济增长的最重要来源是资本积累，在1975-2005年期间占越南经济增长的84％至89％，而在改革时期（1986-2005年）占越南经济增长的85％至90％。原创性/价值-本文是越南文学中的第一篇，成功地阐明了1975-2005年期间资本和技术进步在越南经济中的作用。它还清楚地表明，越南的经济增长主要是由外国资金推动的，因此，经济继续严重依赖这一资金来源将使其增长难以为继。为了在未来几十年中实现可持续增长，越南必须转变为更多地依赖迄今为止尚未出现的生产力增长，而更少地依赖要素积累增长。

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