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Public sector layoffs, severance pay, and inflation in the small open economy

机译:小型开放经济体中的公共部门裁员,遣散费和通货膨胀

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Because severance pay is worth 2-5 years of wages in many LDCs, public sector layoffs increase the fiscal deficit in the short run. Nevertheless, generous severance pay is not as serious a macro-economic problem as generally thought. In the case where the fiscal deficit is financed by printing money, inflation is continuously lower under plausible conditions. When the government can borrow in world capital markets and layoffs reduce the present-value wage bill, there exists a sequence of bond sales and subsequent redemptions that guarantees continuously lower inflation. This result does not hold, however, if the reform lacks credibility.
机译:由于遣散费相当于许多最不发达国家2-5年的工资,因此短期内公共部门的裁员会增加财政赤字。尽管如此,慷慨的遣散费并不像人们普遍认为的那样严重。如果财政赤字是通过印制钞票筹集资金的,那么通货膨胀率在合理的情况下会持续降低。当政府可以在世界资本市场上借钱并且裁员降低现值工资时,存在一系列的债券出售和随后的赎回,这些保证可以持续降低通货膨胀。但是,如果改革缺乏可信度,这个结果就不会成立。

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