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Electoral motives, constituency systems, ideologies, and a free trade agreement: The case of Japan joining the Trans-Pacific Partnership negotiations

机译:选举动机,选区体系,意识形态和自由贸易协定:以日本加入跨太平洋伙伴关系谈判为例

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摘要

This study examines the relationship between candidates and voters in the dispute over a free trade agreement. We theoretically show that candidates' electoral promises about a free trade agreement are related to the economic interests of their districts, the types of constituency systems under which they compete with one another, and their ideologies. We empirically confirm the theoretical expectations, using as a case study the 2012 general election in Japan, where whether to join the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) talks was one of the biggest issues. The TPP tends to be opposed by voters working in the agricultural sector and those living in districts with a larger amount of cultivated land, whereas it tends to be supported by college-educated voters and those living in districts with more export manufacturers. Accordingly, candidates tend to oppose (support) the TPP when their districts have a larger stake in agriculture (export manufacturers) and a smaller (larger) number of college-educated voters. Further, proportional representation candidates are more supportive of the TPP; likewise, candidates and voters who prefer a small government and who emphasize the Japan-United States relationship tend to support the TPP. (C) 2017 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
机译:这项研究研究了自由贸易协定中争议中候选人与选民之间的关系。我们从理论上表明,候选人对自由贸易协定的选举承诺与其所在地区的经济利益,彼此竞争所依据的选区体系类型以及其意识形态有关。我们以2012年日本大选为例,从经验上证实了理论上的期望,在日本大选中,是否参加跨太平洋伙伴关系(TPP)谈判是最大的问题之一。 TPP往往受到在农业部门工作的选民和居住在耕地面积较大的地区的选民的反对,而它却受到受过大学教育的选民和居住在出口制造商较多的地区的选民的支持。因此,当他们所在的地区在农业(出口制造商)中占有更大的份额,而受过大学教育的选民人数较少(更多)时,候选人往往反对(支持)TPP。此外,比例代表候选人更支持TPP。同样,更喜欢小政府并强调日美关系的候选人和选民倾向于支持TPP。 (C)2017 Elsevier Inc.保留所有权利。

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