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Behind the Veil of Vagueness: Success and Failure in Institutional Reforms

机译:模糊面纱的背后:制度改革的成败

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The difficulties of implementing large institutional reforms are legendary. Reform programs may face strong resistance from designated losers, falter at successive veto points, or stall when multiple decision makers have diverse goals. Institutional theories have successfully accounted for failure of reform in many settings, but scholars have paid less attention to how the strategic design of a reform process can have a positive effect on reform initiatives. We seek to fill this gap by studying the impact of planned ambiguity in reform processes. We hypothesize that reform proposals are more likely to succeed when policy entrepreneurs strategically hide the cost-benefit profile of a reform proposal behind a veil of vagueness until the final stages of the process. Designated losers with limited information about the impact of proposed reforms are less likely to succeed in thwarting the reform. We test the theory on four institutional reforms or reform attempts in Denmark.
机译:实施大型体制改革的困难是传奇。改革计划可能会受到指定失败者的强烈抵制,在连续否决点上步履蹒跚,或者当多个决策者拥有不同目标时停滞不前。制度理论已经成功地解释了许多情况下改革的失败,但是学者们很少关注改革过程的战略设计如何对改革计划产生积极影响。我们试图通过研究计划歧义在改革过程中的影响来填补这一空白。我们假设,当政策企业家从战略上将改革提议的成本效益概况隐藏在模糊的面纱之后直到过程的最后阶段时,改革提议更有可能获得成功。有关拟议中的改革的信息知之甚少的指定失败者成功挫败改革的可能性较小。我们测试了丹麦的四项体制改革或改革尝试的理论。

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