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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Waterway, Port, Coastal and Ocean Engineering >Climate Links and Variability of Extreme Sea-Level Events at Key West, Pensacola, and Mayport, Florida
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Climate Links and Variability of Extreme Sea-Level Events at Key West, Pensacola, and Mayport, Florida

机译：彭萨科拉基韦斯特和佛罗里达州梅波特的极端海平面事件的气候联系和变化

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摘要

Analysis of long-term coastal tide records at Key West, Pensacola, and Mayport, Fla. examines the variability of extreme high-water events. Linear trends of event water level at Key West and Pensacola support findings elsewhere that increases in extreme water level are consistent with increases in global mean sea level. A link between event variables and the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) is found at the Key West and Pensacola stations. Mayport does not exhibit such a link, likely the data are confounded by estuarine flows and oceanographic interactions with the St. Johns River. Quantile regressions and extreme value distributions suggest dynamic trends in the event variables at Key West and Pensacola as a function of AMO, indicating an increased variability in relation to linear models that should be of interest to coastal planners and forecasters.
机译：对位于彭萨科拉（Pensacola）和佛罗里达州梅波特（Mayport）的Key West的长期沿海潮汐记录的分析研究了极端高水位事件的变化性。基韦斯特和彭萨科拉的事件水位呈线性趋势，这表明其他地方的极端水位上升与全球平均海平面上升相一致。在基韦斯特站和彭萨科拉站发现了事件变量与大西洋多年代际振荡（AMO）之间的联系。梅波特没有表现出这种联系，可能是由于河口流量和与圣约翰斯河之间的海洋相互作用而混淆了数据。分位数回归和极值分布表明，基韦斯特和彭萨科拉事件变量的动态趋势是AMO的函数，表明与线性模型相关的可变性增加，沿海计划人员和预报员应该对此感兴趣。

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    Joseph Park; Jayantha Obeysekera; Michelle Irizarry-Ortiz; Jenifer Barnes; Winifred Park-Said;

  • 作者单位

    Hydrologic and Environmental Systems Model ing, South Florida Water Management District, 3301 Gun Club Rd., West Palm Beach, FL 33401;

    rnHydrologic and Environmental Systems Modeling, South Florida Water Management District, 3301 Gun Club Rd.,West Palm Beach, FL 33401;

    rnHydrologic and Environmental Systems Modeling, South Florida Water Management District, 3301 Gun Club Rd., West Palm Beach, FL 33401;

    rnHydrologic and Environmental Systems Modeling, South Florida Water Management District, 3301 Gun Club Rd., West Palm Beach, FL 33401;

    rnHydrologic and Environmental Systems Modeling, South Florida Water Management District, 3301 Gun Club Rd., West Palm Beach, FL 33401;

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  • 正文语种 eng
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  • 关键词

    coastal processes; climates; surge; infrastructure;

    机译：沿海过程;气候;浪涌;基础设施;

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