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首页> 外文期刊>The Korean journal of defense analysis >Mission Impossible? Negotiated Settlement, UN PKO, and Post-Civil War Democracy Building
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Mission Impossible? Negotiated Settlement, UN PKO, and Post-Civil War Democracy Building

机译：不可能完成的任务？谈判定居点，联合国维和部和内战后民主大厦

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摘要

Under what conditions can democracy emerge and survive in countries emerging from violent civil conflicts? Using event history analysis, this article shows that the chance for democratization increases substantially by the combination of two factors: whether a civil war ends through peace negotiations and whether United Nations ( UN) peacekeeping forces are deployed after the signing of a peace treaty. Negotiated settlements or UN peacekeeping operations alone cannot resolve the security dilemma and credible commitment problems of civil war adversaries, which are the main obstacles to the transition from war to peace and democracy. Yet these factors have little to do with sustaining democracy in the aftermath of civil war. What matters most for the survival of democracy is rapid economic recovery that can provide better opportunities for former combatants to be reintegrated into normal economic life. These findings suggest that for successful post-conflict democratization the international community should mediate peace negotiations actively and also make a strong effort to maintain peace while helping to reconstruct the war-torn economy.
机译：在什么情况下民主可以在暴力内乱之后的国家中出现并生存？通过事件历史分析，本文显示出民主化的机会通过两个因素的结合而大大增加：内战是否通过和平谈判而结束，以及是否在签署和平条约后部署了联合国维持和平部队。仅通过谈判定居点或联合国维持和平行动就无法解决内战对手的安全困境和可信的承诺问题，这是从战争向和平与民主过渡的主要障碍。然而，这些因素与内战后维持民主关系不大。对民主的生存最重要的是迅速的经济复苏，它可以为前战斗人员提供更好的机会，使其重新融入正常的经济生活。这些发现表明，为了成功地实现冲突后民主化，国际社会应积极调解和平谈判，并在维持和平的同时作出巨大努力，同时帮助重建饱受战争war的经济。

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