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首页> 外文期刊>The Korean journal of defense analysis >Power Asymmetry and the Role of Deterrence in the South China Sea
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Power Asymmetry and the Role of Deterrence in the South China Sea

机译：权力不对称和威慑在南中国海中的作用

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摘要

China's coercive activities in the South China Sea have resulted in a lively academic debate regarding strategies to deter Beijing and maintain the status quo. However, much of this literature has been dominated by the U.S.-China dynamic and has neglected the vital role of the littoral states in the region. This article, through the lens of a maritime strategic environment, deals with the potential for the littoral nations of the South China Sea to deter China. It argues that conventional deterrence by denial is a difficult but applicable strategy despite the substantial power asymmetry that exists between China and the littoral states in the region. However, such a deterrent approach must be tailored to the specific, non-existential challenges that China poses in the region. Among these challenges, this article examines deterrence within the context of China's claim to the Spratly Islands and expansive claims to economic exploitation rights. A maritime strategic environment provides multiple avenues to impose cost on a superior power and the littoral states in the region have invested heavily in naval capabilities. However, as this article finds, it remains to be seen if the littoral states in the region have the technical capability or political will to successfully enact such a deterrent strategy.
机译：中国在南中国海的强制性活动引起了关于阻止北京和维持现状的战略的激烈学术辩论。但是，许多文献都被美中动态所支配，而忽略了沿岸国家在该地区的重要作用。本文通过海洋战略环境的视角，探讨了南中国海沿岸国家对中国的潜在威胁。它认为，尽管中国与该地区沿岸国家之间存在着巨大的权力不对称，但通过拒绝进行常规威慑是一项困难但可行的策略。但是，这种威慑方法必须适合中国在该地区提出的具体，不存在的挑战。在这些挑战中，本文在中国对南沙群岛的主张以及对经济剥削权的广泛主张的背景下考察了威慑。海上战略环境提供了多种途径，以向上级强国施加成本，而且该地区的沿岸国家已大力投资海军能力。但是，正如本文所发现的那样，该地区的沿岸国家是否具有成功制定这种威慑战略的技术能力或政治意愿还有待观察。

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