The contribution of China's emissions to global climate forcing

Li Bengang; Gasser Thomas; Ciais Philippe; Piao Shilong; Tao Shu; Balkanski Yves; Hauglustaine Didier; Boisier Juan-Pablo; Chen Zhuo; Huang Mengtian; Li Laurent Zhaoxin; Li Yue; Liu Hongyan; Liu Junfeng; Peng Shushi; Shen Zehao; Sun Zhenzhong; Wang Rong; Wang Tao; Yin Guodong; Yin Yi; Zeng Hui; Zeng Zhenzhong; Zhou Feng

首页> 外文期刊>Nature >The contribution of China's emissions to global climate forcing

【24h】

The contribution of China's emissions to global climate forcing

机译：中国排放物对全球气候强迫的贡献

获取原文

获取原文并翻译 | 示例

掌桥外文数据库（机构版） >>

开具论文收录证明 >>

文献代查 >>

页面导航

摘要
著录项
相似文献
相关主题

摘要

Knowledge of the contribution that individual countries have made to global radiative forcing is important to the implementation of the agreement on "common but differentiated responsibilities" reached by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Over the past three decades, China has experienced rapid economic development(1), accompanied by increased emission of greenhouse gases, ozone precursors and aerosols(2,3), but the magnitude of the associated radiative forcing has remained unclear. Here we use a global coupled biogeochemistry-climate model(4,5) and a chemistry and transport model(6) to quantify China's present-day contribution to global radiative forcing due to well-mixed greenhouse gases, short-lived atmospheric climate forcers and land-use-induced regional surface albedo changes. We find that China contributes 10% +/- 4% of the current global radiative forcing. China's relative contribution to the positive (warming) component of global radiative forcing, mainly induced by well-mixed greenhouse gases and black carbon aerosols, is 12% +/- 2%. Its relative contribution to the negative (cooling) component is 15% +/- 6%, dominated by the effect of sulfate and nitrate aerosols. China's strongest contributions are 0.16 +/- 0.02 watts per square metre for CO2 from fossil fuel burning, 0.13 +/- 0.05 watts per square metre for CH4, -0.11 +/- 0.05 watts per square metre for sulfate aerosols, and 0.09 +/- 0.06 watts per square metre for black carbon aerosols. China's eventual goal of improving air quality will result in changes in radiative forcing in the coming years: a reduction of sulfur dioxide emissions would drive a faster future warming, unless offset by larger reductions of radiative forcing from well-mixed greenhouse gases and black carbon.

机译：了解各个国家对全球辐射强迫所做的贡献对于执行《联合国气候变化框架公约》所达成的“共同但有区别的责任”协议至关重要。在过去的三十年中，中国经历了快速的经济发展（1），伴随着温室气体，臭氧前体和气溶胶（2,3）的排放增加，但是相关的辐射强迫的大小仍不清楚。在这里，我们使用全球耦合的生物地球化学-气候模型（4,5）和化学与运输模型（6）来量化由于混合温室气体，寿命短的大气气候因素和气候变化对中国目前对全球辐射强迫的贡献。土地利用引起的区域表面反照率变化。我们发现，中国贡献了当前全球辐射强迫的10％+/- 4％。中国对全球辐射强迫的正（变暖）部分的相对贡献为12％+/- 2％，这主要是由温室气体和黑碳气溶胶充分混合引起的。它对负（冷却）成分的相对贡献为15％+/- 6％，主要受硫酸盐和硝酸盐气溶胶的影响。中国贡献最大的是化石燃料燃烧产生的二氧化碳每平方米0.16 +/- 0.02瓦，甲烷排放每平方米0.13 +/- 0.05瓦，硫酸盐气溶胶每平方米-0.11 +/- 0.05瓦和0.09 + / -炭黑气溶胶每平方米0.06瓦。中国最终改善空气质量的目标将导致未来几年辐射强迫的变化：减少二氧化硫的排放将推动未来更快的变暖，除非被充分混合的温室气体和黑碳所造成的辐射强迫的更大减少所抵消。

著录项

来源
《Nature》 |2016年第7594期|357-361|共5页
作者
Li Bengang; Gasser Thomas; Ciais Philippe; Piao Shilong; Tao Shu; Balkanski Yves; Hauglustaine Didier; Boisier Juan-Pablo; Chen Zhuo; Huang Mengtian; Li Laurent Zhaoxin; Li Yue; Liu Hongyan; Liu Junfeng; Peng Shushi; Shen Zehao; Sun Zhenzhong; Wang Rong; Wang Tao; Yin Guodong; Yin Yi; Zeng Hui; Zeng Zhenzhong; Zhou Feng;
展开▼
作者单位

Peking Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Lab Earth Surface Proc, Sinofrench Inst Earth Syst Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China|Jiangsu Ctr Collaborat Innovat Geog Informat Reso, Nanjing 210023, Jiangsu, Peoples R China;

UVSQ, CNRS, CEA, Lab Sci Climat & Environm, F-91191 Gif Sur Yvette, France|CIRAD, AgroParisTech, EHESS, Ctr Int Rech Environm & Dev,CNRS,PontsParisTech, F-94736 Nogent Sur Marne, France;

UVSQ, CNRS, CEA, Lab Sci Climat & Environm, F-91191 Gif Sur Yvette, France;

Peking Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Lab Earth Surface Proc, Sinofrench Inst Earth Syst Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China|Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Excellence Tibetan Earth Sci, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, Key Lab Alpine Ecol & Biodivers, Beijing 100085, Peoples R China;

Peking Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Lab Earth Surface Proc, Sinofrench Inst Earth Syst Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China;

UVSQ, CNRS, CEA, Lab Sci Climat & Environm, F-91191 Gif Sur Yvette, France;

UVSQ, CNRS, CEA, Lab Sci Climat & Environm, F-91191 Gif Sur Yvette, France;

UVSQ, CNRS, CEA, Lab Sci Climat & Environm, F-91191 Gif Sur Yvette, France;

Peking Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Lab Earth Surface Proc, Sinofrench Inst Earth Syst Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China;

Peking Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Lab Earth Surface Proc, Sinofrench Inst Earth Syst Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China;

Univ Paris 06, CNRS, Lab Meteorol Dynam, F-75252 Paris, France;

Peking Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Lab Earth Surface Proc, Sinofrench Inst Earth Syst Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China;

Peking Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Lab Earth Surface Proc, Sinofrench Inst Earth Syst Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China;

Peking Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Lab Earth Surface Proc, Sinofrench Inst Earth Syst Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China;

Peking Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Lab Earth Surface Proc, Sinofrench Inst Earth Syst Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China;

Peking Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Lab Earth Surface Proc, Sinofrench Inst Earth Syst Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China;

Peking Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Lab Earth Surface Proc, Sinofrench Inst Earth Syst Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China;

UVSQ, CNRS, CEA, Lab Sci Climat & Environm, F-91191 Gif Sur Yvette, France;

UVSQ, CNRS, CEA, Lab Sci Climat & Environm, F-91191 Gif Sur Yvette, France;

Peking Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Lab Earth Surface Proc, Sinofrench Inst Earth Syst Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China;

UVSQ, CNRS, CEA, Lab Sci Climat & Environm, F-91191 Gif Sur Yvette, France;

Peking Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Lab Earth Surface Proc, Sinofrench Inst Earth Syst Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China;

Peking Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Lab Earth Surface Proc, Sinofrench Inst Earth Syst Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China;

Peking Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Lab Earth Surface Proc, Sinofrench Inst Earth Syst Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China;

展开▼
收录信息美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);美国《生物学医学文摘》(MEDLINE);美国《化学文摘》(CA);
原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类
关键词

相似文献

外文文献
中文文献
专利

1. Present-day contribution of anthropogenic emissions from China to the global burden and radiative forcing of aerosol and ozone [J] . C.R.HOYLE, G.MYHRE, I.S.A.ISAKSEN Tellus, Series B. Chemical and Physical Meteorology . 2009,第4期

机译：中国人为排放物对全球负担以及气溶胶和臭氧的辐射强迫的当今贡献
2. Comments on the Brazilian Proposal and contributions to global temperature increase with different climate responses-CO_2 emissions due to fossil fuels, CO_2 emissions due to land use change [J] . Luiz Pinguelli Rosa, Suzana Kahn Ribeiro, Maria Silvia Muylaert, Energy Policy . 2004,第13期

机译：关于巴西提案的评论以及在不同气候响应下对全球温度升高的贡献-化石燃料导致的CO_2排放，土地利用变化导致的CO_2排放
3. The contribution of China's bilateral trade to global carbon emissions in the context of globalization [J] . Ding Tao, Ning Yadong, Zhang Yan Structural change and economic dynamics . 2018,第SEPa期

机译：全球化背景下中国双边贸易对全球碳排放的贡献
4. THE CONTRIBUTION OF BIOMASS TO EMISSIONS MITIGATION UNDER A GLOBAL CLIMATE POLICY [C] . Niven Winchester, John M. Reilly IAEE international conference;International Association for Energy Economics . 2015

机译：全球气候政策下生物量对减排的贡献
5. Assessing the Potential of a Novel Feed Additive and an Unsaturated Fat Alone and in Combination to Lower Methane Emission from Cattle and Reduce Their Contribution to Climate Change [D] . Smith, Megan Lillis. 2017

机译：评估新型饲料添加剂和单独的不饱和脂肪的潜力，并与降低牛的甲烷排放并降低其对气候变化的贡献相结合
6. The large contribution of projected HFC emissions to future climate forcing [O] . Guus J. M. Velders, David W. Fahey, John S. Daniel, 2009

机译：预计氢氟碳化合物排放量对未来气候强迫的巨大贡献
7. The oceans mediate the response of global climate to natural and anthropogenic forcings. Yet for the past 2,000 years — a key interval for understanding the present and future climate response to these forcings — global sea surface temperature changes and the underlying driving mechanisms are poorly constrained. Here we present a global synthesis of sea surface temperatures for the Common Era (ce) derived from 57 individual marine reconstructions that meet strict quality control criteria. We observe a cooling trend from 1 to 1800 ce that is robust against explicit tests for potential biases in the reconstructions. Between 801 and 1800 ce, the surface cooling trend is qualitatively consistent with an independent synthesis of terrestrial temperature reconstructions, and with a sea surface temperature composite derived from an ensemble of climate model simulations using best estimates of past external radiative forcings. Climate simulations using single and cumulative forcings suggest that the ocean surface cooling trend from 801 to 1800 ce is not primarily a response to orbital forcing but arises from a high frequency of explosive volcanism. Our results show that repeated clusters of volcanic eruptions can induce a net negative radiative forcing that results in a centennial and global scale cooling trend via a decline in mixed-layer oceanic heat content. [O] . McGregor, Helen V., Evans, Michael N., Goosse, Hugues, 2015

机译：海洋调节了全球气候对自然和人为强迫的响应。然而，在过去的2,000年中（这是了解当前和未来气候对这些强迫的响应的关键间隔），全球海表温度变化及其潜在的驱动机制受到的约束很有限。在这里，我们提出了一个共同的时期（ce）的全球海面温度的全球综合，该综合来自57个符合严格质量控制标准的海洋重建项目。我们观察到从1到1800 ce的冷却趋势，对于显式测试重建中潜在的偏倚而言，该趋势很稳健。在801至1800 ce之间，表面降温趋势在质量上与地面温度重建的独立合成以及从使用过去外部辐射强迫的最佳估计的气候模型模拟集合推导出的海面温度合成在质量上是一致的。使用单一和累积强迫的气候模拟表明，从801到1800 ce的海洋表面冷却趋势主要不是对轨道强迫的反应，而是爆炸性火山爆发的频繁发生。我们的结果表明，火山喷发的反复簇可引起净的负辐射强迫，这会导致混合层海洋热量降低而导致百年和全球规模的降温趋势。

The contribution of China's emissions to global climate forcing

摘要

著录项

相似文献

相关主题

期刊订阅