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Measuring the aggregate effects of the Brazilian Development Bank on investment

机译:衡量巴西开发银行对投资的总影响

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摘要

In this paper, we show that the Brazilian Development Bank (BNDES), one of the largest development banks in the world, had a positive and statistically significant impact on Brazilian aggregate investment during the 2002-2016 period. Each $1 BRL of BNDES loans increased the investment on average by $0.46 BRL. Our results lie between what is alleged by BNDES critics (zero impact) and what is claimed by unconditional advocates of state-owned banks (impact near one). In addition, our results are compatible with micro evidence on the effects of BNDES. We obtained these results using the impulse responses from a large Bayesian VAR and we used double selection inference for robustness.
机译:在本文中,我们显示巴西开发银行(BNDES)是世界上最大的开发银行之一,对2002 - 2016年期间的巴西总投资产生了积极和统计的影响。每笔1美元的BNDES贷款将平均增加投资0.46亿美元。我们的结果位于BNDES评论家(零影响)和国有银行无条件倡导者所声称的内容之间(靠近一个)。此外,我们的结果与关于BNDES效果的微证据兼容。我们使用大贝叶斯var的脉冲响应获得了这些结果,并且我们使用双重选择推论鲁棒性。

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