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An integrated spatial planning model for climate change adaptation in coastal zones

机译：沿海地区适应气候变化的综合空间规划模型

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摘要

This research highlights the spatial planning approach for coastal sustainability and adaptation to climate change. The dilemma of spatial planning in a dynamic and complex coastal environment as well as the establishment of a coastal buffer zone as an adaptation measure for climate change are elaborated upon. In particular, this study outlines the limitations of two of the traditional approaches used for spatial planning (optimization and simulation) and the opportunities that present themselves when combining both models for coastal zone planning. As a result, this study has developed an integrated modeling framework called MOPSD (Multi-Objective Programming and System Dynamic) that can be used for spatial land use planning in coastal areas. The case study is Cijin Island, located next to the Kaohsiung harbor, Taiwan; this location demonstrates that the proposed MOPSD modeling approach generates superior results when compared to each of the two traditional methods. This is mainly attributed to the consideration of deterministic and dynamic characteristics when evaluating the climate change adaptation at risk of coastal erosion.
机译：这项研究强调了沿海可持续发展和适应气候变化的空间规划方法。阐述了在动态和复杂的沿海环境中进行空间规划的困境，以及建立沿海缓冲区作为适应气候变化的措施。特别是，本研究概述了用于空间规划（优化和模拟）的两种传统方法的局限性，以及将两种模型结合用于海岸带规划时所展现的机遇。结果，本研究开发了一个称为MOPSD（多目标规划和系统动态）的集成建模框架，该框架可用于沿海地区的空间土地利用规划。案例研究是位于台湾高雄港旁的旗津岛；该位置表明，与两种传统方法相比，提出的MOPSD建模方法均能产生出色的结果。这主要归因于在评估面临海岸侵蚀风险的气候变化适应性时考虑确定性和动态特性的考虑。

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  • 来源
    《Ocean & coastal management》 |2012年第9期|p.36-45|共10页
  • 作者

    Tsung-Ting Ko; Yang-Chi Chang;

  • 作者单位

    Department of Marine Environment and Engineering, National Sun Yat-sen University, No. 70, Lienhai Rd., Kaohsiung 80424, Taiwan;

    Department of Marine Environment and Engineering, National Sun Yat-sen University, No. 70, Lienhai Rd., Kaohsiung 80424, Taiwan;

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