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首页> 外文期刊>OPEC energy review >What drives the energy consumption mix in Nigeria? The role of financial development, population age groups, urbanization and international trade: insight from ARDL Analysis
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What drives the energy consumption mix in Nigeria? The role of financial development, population age groups, urbanization and international trade: insight from ARDL Analysis

机译：是什么推动尼日利亚的能源消耗混合？ 金融发展，人口年龄组，城市化和国际贸易的作用：ARDL分析的见解

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摘要

This study aims to investigate the influence and the direction causal relationship between energy consumption and the selected explanatory variables in Nigerian economic system. Using ARDL-VECM over the period of 1972-2014, the results are that financial development exerts negative and significant influence on energy consumption. Trade openness and urbanisation exert positive and significant effect on energy consumption both in the short and long run, the active age (15-64) and old age (65 and ) have different effects on energy consumption. Although the number of the older population (age 65 and above) causes the energy consumption level to fall, the size of the working/active population (age 15-64) causes the energy consumption level to increase. Further results revealed (i) unidirectional causality runs from working population to energy consumption, (ii) uni-directional causality runs from energy consumption to credit to private sector, (iii) uni-directional from trade openness to real GDP per capita, (iv) bi-directional causal relationship is observed between urbanisation and energy consumption, (v) bi-directional relationship between trade openness and energy consumption. These findings may be a guide to policymakers in evaluating Nigerian economy's energy needs and effective energy policies needed to address environmental issues related to fossil fuel use.
机译：本研究旨在调查尼日利亚经济体系中能源消耗与所选解释变量的影响和方向因果关系。在1972 - 2014年期间使用ARDL-VECM，结果是金融发展对能源消耗产生负面影响。贸易开放和城市化在短期和长期运行中对能源消耗产生了显着和显着影响，活跃年龄（15-64）和老年（65和GT;）对能源消耗产生了不同的影响。虽然年龄较大的人口（65岁及以上）的数量导致能量消耗水平降落，但工作/活跃人群（15-64岁）的规模导致能耗水平增加。进一步的结果揭示（i）单向因果关系从工作人口与能源消费运行，（ii）单向因果关系从能源消费到私营部门的信贷，（iii）从贸易开放到人均GDP的贸易开放性（IV） ）在城市化和能源消耗之间观察到双向因果关系，（v）贸易开放性和能源消耗之间的双向关系。这些发现可能是政策制定者评估尼日利亚经济的能源需求和有效的能源政策，以解决与化石燃料使用相关的环境问题所需的有效能源政策。

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