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The effects of labour migration on rural household production in inland China: Do landform conditions matter?

机译：劳动力转移对中国内陆农村家庭生产的影响：地貌条件重要吗？

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摘要

The large-scale rural to urban migration, generating sizable remittances, is often considered as an important means to help reduce poverty in rural China. However, penury is still stubbornly haunting the mountainous rural areas of inland China where numerous rural-urban migrants originate. Neglected in the current literature, the landform conditions are vital to explain the diverse effects of labour migration on rural household production in China. By adopting a revised simultaneous equation model, this study explores empirically how variations in regional landform conditions configure the effect of labour migration on rural household production using the data from our 2013 survey of migration intentions among rural labourers in China. The results show that remittances exert a substitution effect on agricultural production of rural households in the mountainous areas but have a promotive effect in the plain and hilly areas. Labour cutback imposes a less negative influence on agricultural production of rural households residing in the plain and hilly areas than in the mountainous areas. The effects of remittances and labour cutback on nonagricultural production of rural households are positive and negative, respectively, although these effects are insensitive to the variation in landform conditions. As a consequence, local wage level of rural households is more difficult to be improved by labour migration in the mountainous areas. Therefore, it is likely to lead to excessive labour migration and poverty trap.
机译：大规模的农村到城市移民，产生大量汇款，通常被认为是帮助减少中国农村贫困的重要手段。然而，在中国内陆的山区仍然存在顽固的污染，那里有大量的城乡移民。在目前的文献中被忽略的地形条件对于解释劳动力迁移对中国农村家庭生产的各种影响至关重要。通过采用修正的联立方程模型，本研究使用2013年我们对中国农村劳动力的移民意向调查的数据，通过经验探索了区域地形条件的变化如何配置劳动力迁移对农村家庭生产的影响。结果表明，汇款对山区农村家庭的农业生产具有替代作用，而对平原和丘陵地区则具有促进作用。劳动力削减对居住在平原和丘陵地区的农村家庭的农业生产的负面影响要小于山区。汇款和劳动力削减对农村家庭非农业生产的影响分别为正和负，尽管这些影响对地形条件的变化不敏感。结果，山区劳动力的迁移更加难以提高农村家庭的当地工资水平。因此，这可能导致过度的劳动力移民和贫困陷阱。

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