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THE EFFECTS OF SUBSIDIES FOR CHILDBEARING ON MIGRATION AND FERTILITY: EVIDENCE FROM KOREA

机译:儿童补贴对迁徙和生育的影响:来自韩国的证据

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摘要

This study examines the effects of a fertility subsidy that was instituted in specific regions in Korea in 2004. The value of the subsidy ranged from $ 4000 to $ 9000 (2004 US$) depending on the area of residence. Using a difference-in-differences estimation strategy, we measure the effects of the policy on childbearing and migration in and out of the subsidized areas. Our estimates for migration suggest that the policy significantly increased the net inflow of females into the subsidized areas. This effect is driven roughly equally by a decrease in the outflow from and an increase into the subsidized areas. Our estimated effects on fertility are in line with previous results from the literature; we find that a $ 1000 increase in fertility subsidies leads to a 0.108% increase in the chance of bearing a child for all age groups (21 to 45). Our results show that the policy increased total births in 2005 by 11,000 and that the vast majority of this increase was from the 21 to 33 cohort.
机译:这项研究调查了2004年在韩国特定地区实施的生育补贴的影响。补贴的金额从4000美元到9000美元(2004美元)不等,具体取决于居住地区。我们使用差异差异估算策略,评估了该政策对分娩地区和受补贴地区移民的影响。我们对移民的估计表明,该政策大大增加了女性流入受补贴地区的净流入。补贴面积的流出减少和流入量的增加大致相同地驱动了这种效应。我们对生育力的估计影响与文献先前的结果一致;我们发现生育补贴增加1000美元会导致所有年龄段(21岁至45岁)生育孩子的机会增加0.108%。我们的结果表明,该政策将2005年的总出生人数增加了11,000,而这一增长的绝大部分是从21岁增加到33岁。

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