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THE ROLE OF FOREIGN DEBT AND FINANCIAL FRICTIONS IN A SMALL OPEN ECONOMY DSGE MODEL

机译:小型债务开放DSGE模型中外债和金融摩擦的作用

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We examine the role of foreign debt and financial frictions in the Korean business cycle using a small open economy DSGE (dynamic stochastic general equilibrium) model where domestic banks borrow external funds, denominated in foreign currencies, for a risk premium and make loans to domestic producers. We find that the Korean economy is 'financially vulnerable', which means that the risk premium increases when the domestic currency depreciates. As a result, depreciation could cause recession, rather than expansion, when there exist substantial amount of foreign debt or financial frictions. A simulation shows that the Korean business cycle would suffer less volatility with a lower steady-state level of foreign debt or no financial frictions.
机译:我们使用小型开放经济DSGE(动态随机一般均衡)模型检验了韩国经济周期中外债和金融摩擦的作用,该模型中国内银行借以外币计价的外部资金以获得风险溢价,并向国内生产者提供贷款。我们发现韩国经济“财务脆弱”,这意味着当本币贬值时,风险溢价会增加。结果,当存在大量外债或金融摩擦时,贬值可能导致衰退而不是扩张。模拟显示,由于外债的稳态水平较低或没有财务摩擦,韩国经济周期的波动性较小。

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