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A Dissensus Based Online Delphi Approach: An Explorative Research Tool

机译：基于分歧的在线德尔菲方法：一种探索性研究工具

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摘要

This paper presents an adapted Delphi methodology that is, contrary to the classical Delphi design is not aiming to minimize expert estimation variance, but to maximize the range of expert opinions inputted sequentially into an online system. After discussing the traditional Delphi approach and its dissensus based derivatives, the author opens the case for a dissensus Delphi based explorative research tool with special consideration of the Delphi aim, the expert sample and the Delphi design. The proposed online Delphi process is then presented conceptually. Next, the proposed tool is demonstrated based on a prototype, exploring the barrier factors to the adoption of mobile data services. A discussion on the theoretical design and practical R&D experience of the dissensus based online Delphi approach concludes the paper.
机译：本文提出了一种经过改进的Delphi方法，与经典的Delphi设计相反，其目的不是最小化专家估计方差，而是最大化顺序输入到在线系统中的专家意见的范围。在讨论了传统的Delphi方法及其基于异议的派生方法之后，作者特别考虑了Delphi的目标，专家样本和Delphi设计，为基于异议的Delphi的探索性研究工具打开了案例。然后从概念上介绍了建议的在线Delphi过程。接下来，将基于原型演示拟议的工具，探讨采用移动数据服务的障碍因素。本文最后讨论了基于异议的在线德尔菲方法的理论设计和实际研发经验。

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