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Information and ambiguity: herd and contrarian behaviour in financial markets

机译:信息和含糊不清:金融市场中的羊群和逆势行为

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摘要

The paper studies the impact of informational ambiguity on behalf of informed traders on history-dependent price behaviour in a model of sequential trading in financial markets. Following Chateauneuf et al. (J Econ Theory 137:538–567, 2008), we use neo-additive capacities to model ambiguity. Such ambiguity and attitudes to it can engender herd and contrarian behaviour, and also cause the market to break down. The latter, herd and contrarian behaviour, can be reduced by the existence of a bid-ask spread.
机译:本文研究了在金融市场的顺序交易模型中,代表知情交易者的信息歧义对依赖历史的价格行为的影响。继Chateauneuf等。 (J Econ Theory 137:538-567,2008),我们使用新加性能力来模拟歧义。这种模棱两可的态度会引起羊群和逆势行为,并导致市场崩溃。可以通过买卖差价来减少后者的畜群和逆势行为。

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