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Stockholm congestion charging: an assessment with METROPOLIS and SILVESTER

机译：斯德哥尔摩交通拥堵收费：METROPOLIS和SILVESTER的评估

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摘要

This paper reviews and compares the performance of two dynamic transportation models - METROPOLIS and SILVESTER - which are used to predict the impacts of congestion charging for Stockholm. Both are mesoscopic dynamic models treating accumulation and dissipation of traffic queues, route choice, modal split and departure time choice. The models are calibrated independently for the baseline situation without charges and applied to forecast the effects of congestion charging. The results obtained from the two models are mutually compared and validated against the actual outcome of the Stockholm congestion charging scheme. Both models successfully predict the outcomes of the congestion charging trial at both aggregate and disaggregate levels. Results of welfare analysis, however, differ substantially due to differences in model specification.
机译：本文回顾并比较了两种动态交通运输模型METROPOLIS和SILVESTER的性能，这两种模型用于预测拥堵收费对斯德哥尔摩的影响。两者都是介观的动态模型，用于处理交通队列的累积和消散，路线选择，模式拆分和出发时间选择。这些模型针对基线情况进行了独立校准，不收取任何费用，并用于预测拥堵收费的影响。从这两个模型获得的结果将相互比较，并根据斯德哥尔摩交通拥堵收费方案的实际结果进行验证。两种模型都可以在总体和细分水平上成功预测拥堵收费试验的结果。但是，由于模型规格的不同，福利分析的结果也大不相同。

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