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Inland cargo flow modelling considering shipment time variability on cross-border transport

机译：考虑跨境运输中运输时间可变性的内陆货物流模型

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摘要

This paper formulates an inland cargo flow model that considers the additional costs incurred because of variability in shipment times at borders and seaports. Using the proposed model, five scenario analyses for cross-border haulage between Lao PDR and seaports in Thailand and Vietnam are carried out in order to assess the impact of improving border and seaport reliability. These scenario analyses show that improving shipment time variability at seaports has more impact on cost reduction compared to improving border reliability. As for seaport choice, both cases of seaport and border reliability indicate similar trends. Cargo volumes decrease at Laem Chabang seaport in Thailand and increase at Vietnamese seaports as reliability at each identified bottleneck is improved.
机译：本文拟定了一个内陆货物流模型，该模型考虑了由于边境和港口的装运时间变化而产生的额外成本。使用提出的模型，对老挝和泰国和越南海港之间的跨境运输进行了五种情景分析，以评估改善边境和海港可靠性的影响。这些情景分析表明，与提高边境可靠性相比，改善海港装运时间的可变性对降低成本的影响更大。至于海港的选择，海港和边界可靠性的情况都表明了类似的趋势。泰国的Laem Chabang海港的货运量减少，而越南海港的货运量增加，因为每个确定的瓶颈处的可靠性都得到了提高。

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