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首页> 外文期刊>Proceedings of the Workshop on Principles of Advanced and Distributed Simulation >STOCHASTIC SIMULATION OF OPTIMAL INSURANCE POLICIES TO MANAGE SUPPLY CHAIN RISK
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STOCHASTIC SIMULATION OF OPTIMAL INSURANCE POLICIES TO MANAGE SUPPLY CHAIN RISK

机译:最优保险政策管理供应链风险的随机模拟

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摘要

Manufacturing firms, particularly those in the chemical industry, typically employ risk management principles to identify, analyze, and prioritize risks that have the potential to cause significant property damage and business interruption to operating assets. These risks, which may exceed the firm's financial capacity post-loss, can be hedged using financial instruments in the insurance markets. Many firms design insurance programs to share the loss exposure; however characterization of the loss distributions and determination of the optimal coverage limits is more challenging. Few applied simulation models have been published in the open literature to address optimal insurance policies, despite the importance and value provided to shareholders. Consequently, corporate risk managers often rely on heuristics or past decisions to structure insurance programs during renewal periods. This simulation model considers the benefit of risk management given loss distributions specific to contract manufacturers and establishes a scientific approach for making optimal insurance policy decisions.
机译:制造公司,特别是化学工业的制造公司,通常采用风险管理原则来识别,分析和区分可能导致重大财产损失和经营资产业务中断的风险。这些风险可能超过公司亏损后的财务能力,可以使用保险市场中的金融工具对冲这些风险。许多公司设计了保险计划以分担损失风险。然而,损失分布的表征和最佳覆盖范围的确定更具挑战性。尽管为股东提供了重要性和价值,但很少有应用仿真模型在公开文献中发表,以解决最佳保险政策。因此,公司风险管理人员通常在续订期间依靠试探法或过去的决定来构建保险计划。该模拟模型考虑了给定合同制造商特定损失分配的情况下进行风险管理的好处,并建立了科学的方法来制定最佳的保险单决策。

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