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首页> 外文期刊>The journal of clinical hypertension. >New prediction rule for incident hypertension: Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study/Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS).
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New prediction rule for incident hypertension: Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study/Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS).

机译:突发性高血压的新预测规则:社区动脉粥样硬化风险(ARIC)研究/心血管健康研究(CHS)。

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摘要

Kshirsagar and colleagues recently developed a model for predicting 3-, 6-, and 9-year risk of incident hypertension. They have done an incredible attempt to improve hypertension risk prediction. Good calibration and acceptable discrimination capacity has made their work a valuable one in the field. They have also converted their regression models to a risk-scoring algorithm. The algorithm is simple and user-friendly, two characteristics that could promote its utilization in office-based primary care settings. However, the transportability of the model to populations other than the populations from which it has been derived needs to be validated. In external validation, the (logistic regression) parameter estimate for each risk component of the model should be available.
机译:Kshirsagar和同事最近开发了一种模型,用于预测3年,6年和9年高血压的风险。他们做出了令人难以置信的尝试来改善高血压风险预测。良好的校准和可接受的辨别能力使其在该领域的工作很有价值。他们还将回归模型转换为风险评分算法。该算法简单易用,这两个特征可以促进其在基于办公室的基层医疗机构中的利用。但是,该模型对除其衍生人群以外的其他人群的可运输性需要进行验证。在外部验证中,应该可以使用模型的每个风险成分的(逻辑回归)参数估计值。

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