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An empirical analysis of the potential for market power in California's electricity industry

机译:对加州电力行业市场力量潜力的实证分析

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摘要

Using historical cost data, we simulate the California electricity market after deregulation as a static Cournot market with a competitive fringe. Our model indicates that, under the pre-deregulation structure of generation ownership, there is potential for significant market power in high demand hours, particularly in the fall and early winter months when hydroelectric output is at its lowest level relative to demand. The results also show that two of the most important factors in determining the extent and severity of market power are the level of available hydroelectric production and the elasticity of demand.
机译:使用历史成本数据,我们将放松管制后的加利福尼亚电力市场模拟为具有竞争优势的静态古诺市场。我们的模型表明,在发电机组所有权的预先释放前的结构下,在高需求小时内,特别是在秋季和冬季初,水力发电相对于需求处于最低水平时,存在巨大的市场力量。结果还表明,确定市场力量的程度和严重性的两个最重要因素是可用水力发电的水平和需求的弹性。

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