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首页> 外文期刊>The journals of gerontology.Series A. Biological sciences and medical sciences >Estimating the Upper Limit of Lifetime Probability Distribution, Based on Data of Japanese Centenarians
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Estimating the Upper Limit of Lifetime Probability Distribution, Based on Data of Japanese Centenarians

机译：根据日本百岁老人的数据估算寿命概率分布的上限

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摘要

In modern biology, theories of aging fall mainly into two groups: damage theories and programed theories. If programed theories are true, the probability that human beings live beyond a specific age will be zero. In contrast, if damage theories are true, such an age does not exist, and a longevity record will be eventually destroyed. In this article, for examining real state, a special type of binomial model based on the generalized Pareto distribution has been applied to data of Japanese centenarians. From the results, it is concluded that the upper limit of lifetime probability distribution in the Japanese population has been estimated 123 years.
机译：在现代生物学中，衰老理论主要分为两类：损伤理论和程序化理论。如果编程理论是正确的，那么人类生活超过特定年龄的可能性将为零。相反，如果损害理论是正确的，那么这种年龄就不存在了，寿命记录将最终被破坏。在本文中，为了检查真实状态，已将一种基于广义Pareto分布的特殊二项式模型应用于日本百岁老人的数据。从结果可以得出结论，日本人口中寿命概率分布的上限估计为123年。

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