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New proofs of the recent climate warming over the Tibetan Plateau as a result of the increasing greenhouse gases emissions

机译:温室气体排放增加导致青藏高原近期气候变暖的新证据

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摘要

A striking climate warming over the Tibetan Plateau during the last decades has been revealed by many studies, but evidence linking it to human activity is insufficient. By using historical observations, here we show that the in situ climate warming is accompanied by a distinct decreasing trend of the diurnal range of surface air temperature. The ERA40 reanalysis further indicates that there seems to be a coherent warming trend near the tro-popause but a cooling trend in the lower stratosphere. Moreover, all these features can be reproduced in two coupled climate models forced by observed CO_2 concentration of the 20th century but cannot be produced by the fixed external conditions before the industrial revolution. These suggest that the recent climate warming over the Tibetan Plateau primarily results from the increasing anthropogenic greenhouse gases emissions, and impacts of the increased greenhouse gases emissions upon the climate change in the plateau are probably more serious than the rest of the world.
机译:许多研究表明,过去几十年来,青藏高原地区出现了令人震惊的气候变暖现象,但与人类活动相关的证据不足。通过使用历史观测,我们在这里表明,原地气候变暖伴随着地表气温昼夜范围的明显下降趋势。 ERA40的再分析进一步表明,对流popause附近似乎有一个连贯的变暖趋势,而在平流层较低层却有降温趋势。而且,所有这些特征都可以在20世纪观测到的CO_2浓度的强迫下,在两个耦合的气候模型中得以再现,但是在工业革命之前,由于固定的外部条件而无法再现。这些表明,最近青藏高原的气候变暖主要是由于人为温室气体排放量的增加,温室气体排放量增加对高原气候变化的影响可能比世界其他地区更为严重。

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