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On the relationship between meningococcal transmission dynamics and disease: Remarks on humoral immunity

机译:脑膜炎球菌传播动力学与疾病之间的关系:体液免疫的评论

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摘要

We consider a model for the transmission dynamics of Neisseria meningitidis which incorporates the humoral immunity hypothesis in an explicit way. The "humoral immunity" hypothesis states that individuals will experience significantly different risks of invasive disease depending on whether they are experiencing their first infection episode, or a subsequent one. The model is fitted to the Stonehouse-Danbury carriage data and to UK disease data. For serogroup C (B) the risk of disease during the first infection episode results to be 100 (400) times higher compared to subsequent ones. Moreover the best-fit corresponds to the situation where N. lactamica essentially always confers cross-protection.
机译:我们考虑脑膜炎奈瑟氏球菌的传播动力学模型,该模型以明确的方式结合了体液免疫假说。 “体液免疫”假说指出,个体将经历侵袭性疾病的风险显着不同,这取决于他们是经历第一次感染还是随后感染。该模型适用于Stonehouse-Danbury运输数据和UK疾病数据。对于血清群C(B),与随后的感染相比,首次感染发作期间患病的风险要高100(400)倍。此外,最适合的情况对应于乳酸内杆菌基本上总是提供交叉保护的情况。

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