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The incidence of varicella in southern Taiwan: a life table method estimation among susceptible population

机译：台湾南部水痘的发病率：易感人群的生命表方法估计

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摘要

Previous studies have failed to estimate the size of population at risk and underestimated the incidence of varicella among susceptible population. In this study, we calculated the incidence of varicella and its complications in Taiwan based on a life table method, in which the size of population at risk was taken into account. Population-based data were obtained from the Bureau of National Health Insurance. The age-specific incidences estimated by the uncorrected and corrected methods were compared. The incidence of varicella increased sharply after infancy and peaked at 16.7% in children aged 5 years. A correction which assumes the introduction of varicella vaccine resulted in a higher incidence of 19.5% in children aged 5 years. The lifetime cumulative incidence increased to around 76%. Sensitive surveillance of varicella and correct incidence estimate among susceptible population are essential in countries that have implemented or are about to implement varicella vaccination.
机译：先前的研究未能估计高危人群的规模，而低估了易感人群中水痘的发病率。在这项研究中，我们根据生命表方法计算了台湾水痘的发病率及其并发症，其中考虑了处于危险中的人口规模。基于人口的数据来自国家健康保险局。比较了通过未校正方法和校正方法估算出的特定年龄段的发生率。水痘的发病率在婴儿期后急剧增加，在5岁的儿童中最高达到16.7％。假定引入水痘疫苗的校正导致5岁儿童的高发生率19.5％。终生累积发病率增加到约76％。在已实施或将要实施水痘疫苗接种的国家中，对水痘进行敏感监测和对易感人群的正确发病率估算至关重要。

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