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首页> 外文期刊>Turkish Journal of Agriculture & Forestry >Game theory and its application to field crops in Antalya Province
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Game theory and its application to field crops in Antalya Province

机译：博弈论及其在安塔利亚省大田作物中的应用

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摘要

The gross production of wheat, barley, maize, cotton, groundnut, chickpea, and sesame under the most unfavourable conditions was evaluated by game theory model. Data included the gross product values of crops (grown at Antalya, Turkey) from 1980 to1999. The Wald decision-making criterion was used to determine the highest income under the worst conditions. Based on the gross product value of the crops, 35 different farm plans were considered. Pay-off coefficients represent changes in the farmer's gross product value associated with various plan alternatives. Groundnut and cotton, which had the highest variation coefficients, were the most risky crops (i.e. as the expected income decreases, the possibility of including cotton and groundnut in the farm plan decreases). It is concluded that the game theory model is a good indicator for growers selecting alternative management strategies.
机译：通过博弈论模型评估了最不利条件下小麦，大麦，玉米，棉花，花生，鹰嘴豆和芝麻的总产。数据包括1980年至1999年间（土耳其安塔利亚种植的）农作物的总产值。 Wald决策标准用于确定最坏条件下的最高收入。根据农作物的总产值，考虑了35种不同的农业计划。回报系数代表与各种计划替代方案相关的农民总产值的变化。变异系数最高的花生和棉花是风险最高的作物（即随着预期收入的减少，将棉花和花生纳入农场计划的可能性降低）。结论是，博弈论模型是种植者选择替代管理策略的良好指标。

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