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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of studies on alcohol >A mixture model of discontinuous development in heavy drinking from ages 18 to 30: the role of college enrollment.
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A mixture model of discontinuous development in heavy drinking from ages 18 to 30: the role of college enrollment.

机译：18至30岁的重度饮酒不连续发展的混合模型：大学入学的作用。

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OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to illustrate the use of latent class analysis to examine change in behavior over time. Patterns of heavy drinking from ages 18 to 30 were explored in a national sample; the relationship between college enrollment and pathways of heavy drinking, particularly those leading to adult heavy drinking, was explored. METHOD: Latent class analysis for repeated measures is used to estimate common pathways through a stage-sequential process. Common patterns of development in a categorical variable (presence or absence of heavy drinking) are estimated and college enrollment is a grouping variable. Data were from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (N=1,265). RESULTS: Eight patterns of heavy drinking were identified: no heavy drinking (53.7%); young adulthood only (3.7%); young adulthood and adulthood (3.7%); college age only (2.6%); college age, young adulthood, and adulthood (8.7%); high school and college age (4.4%); high school, college age, and young adulthood (6.3%); and persistent heavy drinking (16.9%). CONCLUSIONS: We found no evidence that prevalence of heavy drinking for those enrolled in college exceeds the prevalence for those not enrolled at any of the four developmental periods studied. In fact, there is some evidence that being enrolled in college appears to be a protective factor for young adult and adult heavy drinking. College-enrolled individuals more often show a pattern characterized by heavy drinking during college ages only, with no heavy drinking prior to and after the college years, whereas nonenrolled individuals not drinking heavily during high school or college ages are at increased risk for adult heavy drinking.
机译：目的：本研究的目的是说明潜伏类分析法用于检验行为随时间的变化。在全国样本中探索了18至30岁的重度饮酒模式;探讨了大学入学率与大量饮酒途径之间的关系，特别是导致成年人大量饮酒的途径。方法：针对重复措施的潜在类分析用于通过阶段顺序过程来估计常见途径。估计分类变量的普遍发展模式（是否喝酒），大学入学率是一个分组变量。数据来自全国青年纵向调查（N = 1265）。结果：确定了八种重度饮酒模式：无重度饮酒（53.7％）;无重度饮酒。仅限成年（3.7％）;青少年和成年（3.7％）;仅大学年龄（2.6％）;大学年龄，年轻成年和成年（8.7％）;高中和大学年龄（4.4％）;高中，大学年龄和成年年轻人（6.3％）;和持续大量饮酒（16.9％）。结论：我们没有发现证据表明，在所研究的四个发展时期中，大学入学者的重度饮酒发生率超过未入学者。实际上，有证据表明，进入大学似乎是年轻人和成年人大量饮酒的保护因素。被大学录取的人更经常表现出一种特征，即仅在大学时期才大量饮酒，而在大学时期之前和之后都没有大量饮酒，而在高中或大学时期未饮酒的未注册个人则成年人饮酒的风险增加。 。

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