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New Varieties—Panacea or Pandemonium?

机译:新品种-松露菌还是or药?

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New Zealand should not be able to sustain a significant apple industry. We have relatively high costs of land, labor and capital, and an almost total reliance on distant export markets. In 1976, the infamous 'Massey Report' said, "It is clear to us that the industry, given its present structure, location and size, is not viable."(l) Their simplistic premise was that consumption in our export markets would grow by 2%, while our production was likely to grow at 4-8%. This would result in falling prices. As an industry we have 'defied gravity' in the decades since that conclusion was reached. The flaw in their analysis was that they applied a pure commodity model to the pipfruit industry.
机译:新西兰不应该能够维持重要的苹果产业。我们的土地,劳动力和资本成本较高,而且几乎完全依赖遥远的出口市场。 1976年,臭名昭著的“ Massey报告”说:“很明显,鉴于该行业的现有结构,位置和规模,该行业是不可行的。”(l)他们简单的前提是,出口市场的消费量会增长增长2%,而我们的产量则可能增长4-8%。这将导致价格下降。自从得出该结论以来的几十年中,作为一个行业,我们一直在“定义重力”。他们分析的缺陷在于,他们将纯商品模型应用于柚子行业。

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