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Exploring the climate problems of Brazil's Nordeste: a review

机译:探索巴西的诺德斯特气候问题:回顾

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This article reviews the exploration of the climate dynamics of Brazil's Nordeste in the course of a century. The drought-prone and semi-arid northern Nordeste of Brazil experiences a short rainy season around March-April, when the interhemispheric gradient of sea surface temperature (SST) in the tropical Atlantic is weakest and the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) reaches its southernmost position in the course of the annual cycle. The recurrent Secas (droughts) have a severe socio-economic impact. During drought years, the interhemispheric SST gradient in the tropical Atlantic is steep and the ITCZ stays far North, while the waters of the eastern equatorial Pacific tend to be anomalously warm. Based on the extensive diagnostic exploration of the circulation mechanisms of interannual climate variability, empirical methods have been developed for the forecasting of the Nordeste rainy season. These have been applied in the real-time prediction of seasonal rainfall anomalies throughout the last decade of the 20th century.
机译:本文回顾了一个世纪以来对巴西Nordeste气候动态的探索。巴西北部北部的干旱多雨和半干旱的干旱季节大约在三月至四月,当时热带大西洋的半球海面温度(SST)的半球梯度最弱,而热带辐合带(ITCZ)到达其最南端在年度周期中的位置。反复发生的Secas(干旱)具有严重的社会经济影响。在干旱年份,热带大西洋的半球SST梯度陡峭,ITCZ保持在最北端,而赤道东太平洋的水域往往异常温暖。在对年际气候变化的循环机制进行广泛的诊断探索的基础上,已经开发了经验方法来预测诺德斯特雨季。这些已用于实时预测整个20世纪最后十年的季节性降雨异常。

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