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首页> 外文期刊>Geophysical Research Letters >Trends in joint quantiles of temperature and precipitation in Europe since 1901 and projected for 2100
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Trends in joint quantiles of temperature and precipitation in Europe since 1901 and projected for 2100

机译：自1901年以来欧洲温度和降水联合分位数的趋势，预计2100年

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This study assesses the changes in the exceedances of joint extremes of temperature and precipitation quantiles for a number of sites in Europe. The combination of cool/dry, cool/ wet, warm/dry and warm/wet modes reveals a systematic change at all locations investigated in the course of the 20th century, with significant declines in the frequency of occurrence of the "cold" modes and a sharp rise in that of the "warm" modes. The changing behavior of these four modes is also accompanied by changes in the particular conditions of temperature and precipitation associated with each mode; for example, the average amount of precipitation during cool/wet events decreases while that during warm/ wet events increases, even though mean precipitation at most locations shows no significant trend. In a "greenhouse climate" the "cool" modes are almost totally absent by 2100 whereas the warm/dry and warm/wet modes pursue the progression already observed in the 20th century.
机译：这项研究评估了欧洲许多站点的温度和降水分位数联合极端值的变化。冷/干，冷/湿，暖/干和暖/湿模式的组合揭示了在20世纪中所有调查地点的系统变化，“冷”模式和“冷”模式的发生频率显着下降。 “温暖”模式的急剧上升。这四种模式的变化行为还伴随着与每种模式相关的特定温度和降水条件的变化。例如，即使在大多数地点的平均降水量没有明显趋势，在冷/湿事件期间的平均降水量会减少，而在暖湿事件期间的平均降水量会增加。在“温室气候”中，到2100年几乎完全没有“凉爽”模式，而温暖/干燥和温暖/湿润的模式追求的是20世纪已经观察到的进展。

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