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Beliefs about climate change in the aftermath of extreme flooding

机译：关于极端洪水之后的气候变化的信念

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When faced with natural disasters, communities respond in diverse ways, with processes that reflect their cultures, needs, and the extent of damage incurred by the community. Because of their potentially recurring nature, floods offer an opportunity for communities to learn from and adapt to these experiences with the goal of increasing resiliency through reflection, modification of former policies, and adoption of new policies. A key component of a community's ability to learn from disaster is how community members perceive the causes of extreme flood events and whether there is risk of future similar events. Perceptions of causes of flooding, including climate change, may be influenced by experiencing a flood event, along with individual preferences for various policies put in place to help a community recover. Using data collected from two rounds of public surveys (n = 903) across six Colorado communities flooded in 2013, we investigate whether there is variation across causal understanding of flooding, and whether this variation can be linked to differences in proximity of damages experienced (personal property, neighborhood, or community). By analyzing these variables, along with other variables (time since flood, political affiliation, and worldview), this study improves our understanding of the factors that drive our beliefs about potential causes of floods, focusing on climate change. The findings suggest that the extent of damage experienced at the neighborhood and community levels can have a significant effect on the perceptions of climate change held by the public. In turn, these beliefs about climate change are positively associated with perceptions of risks of future flooding.
机译：面对自然灾害时，社区以多样化的方式回应，流程反映其文化，需求以及社区所产生的损害程度。由于他们潜在的重现性质，洪水为社区提供了学习和适应这些经验的机会，以通过反思，修改前政策，采用新政策来增加弹性。社区从灾难中学习能力的一个关键组成部分是社区成员如何察觉极端洪水事件的原因以及未来类似事件的风险。在包括气候变化的情况下，对洪水的原因的看法可能受到洪水事件的影响，以及为提供各种政策而有助于社区恢复的各种政策的偏好。使用从2013年淹没的六个科罗拉多群体的两轮公共调查（n = 903）中收集的数据，我们调查了对洪水的因果理解是否有变化，以及这种变化是否可以与经验丰富的损害赔偿的差异相关联（个人财产，邻里或社区）。通过分析这些变量以及其他变量（自洪水，政治附属和世界观以来的时间），本研究提高了我们对推动我们信仰潜在洪水潜在原因的因素的理解，重点是气候变化。调查结果表明，附近和社区层面所经历的损害程度可能对公众持有的气候变化的看法产生重大影响。反过来，关于气候变化的这些信念与对未来洪水风险的看法正相关。

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