首页> 外文期刊>Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application >Statistical Models of Key Components of Wildfire Risk
【24h】

Statistical Models of Key Components of Wildfire Risk

机译:野火风险关键部件的统计模型

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例
           

摘要

Fire danger systems have evolved from qualitative indices, to process-driven deterministic models of fire behavior and growth, to data-driven stochastic models of fire occurrence and simulation systems. However, there has often been little overlap orconnectivity in these frameworks, and validation has not been common in deterministic models. Yet, marked increases in annual fire costs, losses, and fatality costs over the past decade draw attention to the need for better understanding of fire risk tosupport fire management decision making through the use of science-backed, data-driven tools. Contemporary risk modeling systems provide a useful integrative framework. This article discusses a variety of important contributions for modeling fire risk components over recent decades, certain key fire characteristics that have beenoverlooked, and areas ofrecentresearchthatmayenhance riskmodels.
机译:火灾危险系统从定性指数中演变,以处理驱动的火灾行为和增长的确定性模型,以及数据驱动的火灾发生和仿真系统的随机模型。 但是,在这些框架中通常存在很少的重叠或连接,并且在确定性模型中验证并不常见。 然而,在过去十年中,每年的消防成本,损失和死亡成本的显着增加引起了通过使用科学支持的数据驱动的工具更好地了解火灾风险ToSupport火灾管理决策的需要。 当代风险建模系统提供了一个有用的综合框架。 本文讨论了近几十年来建模火灾风险组件的各种重要贡献,曾经是一定的关键火灾特征,以及ReCentResearchthatmayenhanceNaNHANCANCHANCANHANCANCONANCALMODELS的领域。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号