The effects of China's growth on the food prices and the food exports of other developing countries.

Villoria N.

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The effects of China's growth on the food prices and the food exports of other developing countries.

机译：中国的增长对其他发展中国家的食品价格和食品出口的影响。

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This article explores the impacts of China's growth in the international markets of agricultural products along two dimensions: food price inflation and export growth in other developing countries. China's food imports of vegetable oils have grown dramatically over the last decade, linking China's economic growth to the recent increases in global food prices. If China is a source of global food price inflation, exporting countries will benefit whether they sell directly to China or not. These direct and indirect linkages are explored using a short-run, partial-equilibrium model of international trade in agricultural products in which consumer prices and trade costs are derived from bilateral trade flows. China's effects on food prices and exports are estimated by reducing Chinese food expenditures in 2007 by half, roughly China's level of expenditures in 1995. Results indicate that food prices as measured by CES price indexes in developing Asia, Africa, and Latin America would have been reduced by 1.27%, 0.32%, and 0.22%, respectively. China has been an important source of growth for exporters selling directly to China. There is no evidence of export growth due to an overall increase in food prices caused by China's growth

机译：本文从两个方面探讨中国经济增长对国际农产品市场的影响：食品价格上涨和其他发展中国家的出口增长。在过去十年中，中国从植物油中进口的食品数量急剧增长，这将中国的经济增长与近期全球食品价格上涨联系在一起。如果中国是全球食品价格上涨的来源，那么无论出口国是否直接向中国出售，都会受益。使用农产品国际贸易的短期，部分均衡模型来探索这些直接和间接的联系，在该模型中，消费者价格和贸易成本来自双边贸易流量。通过对2007年中国的食品支出减少一半，大约是1995年中国的支出水平，估计中国对食品价格和出口的影响。结果表明，以CES价格指数衡量的发展中亚洲，非洲和拉丁美洲的食品价格应该是分别降低了1.27％，0.32％和0.22％。对于直接向中国出口的出口商而言，中国一直是重要的增长来源。没有证据表明中国的增长导致食品价格整体上涨导致出口增长

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来源
《Agricultural Economics》 |2012年第5期|共16页
作者
Villoria N.;
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原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类农业经济;
关键词
Food prices; Gravity model; China; Agricultural exports; Developing countries exports; agricultural prices; Armington model;

机译：粮食价格;重力模型;中国;农产品出口;发展中国家出口;农产品价格;阿明顿模型;

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The effects of China's growth on the food prices and the food exports of other developing countries.

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