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首页> 外文期刊>Annals of epidemiology >An age-period-cohort analysis of gastric cancer mortality from 1950 to 2007 in Europe.
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An age-period-cohort analysis of gastric cancer mortality from 1950 to 2007 in Europe.

机译:欧洲在1950年至2007年间对胃癌死亡率的年龄分组研究。

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PURPOSE: To analyze the components of the favorable trends in gastric cancer in Europe. METHODS: From official certified deaths from gastric cancer and population estimates for 42 countries of the European geographical region, during the period 1950 to 2007, age-standardized death rates (World Standard Population) were computed, and an age-period-cohort analysis was performed. RESULTS: Central and Northern countries with lower rates in the 2005 to 2007 period, such as France (5.28 and 1.93/100,000, men and women respectively) and Sweden (4.49 and 2.21/100,000), had descending period and cohort effects that decreased steeply from the earliest cohorts until those born in the 1940s, to then stabilize. Former nonmarket economy countries had mortality rates greater than 20/100,000 men and 10/100,000 women, and displayed a later start in the cohort effect fall, which continued in the younger cohorts. Mortality remained high in some countries of Southern and Eastern Europe. CONCLUSIONS: The decrease in gastric cancer mortality was observed in both cohort and period effects but was larger in the cohorts, suggesting that the downward trends are likely to persist in countries with higher rates. In a few Western countries with very low rates an asymptote appears to have been reached for cohorts born after the 1940s, particularly in women.
机译:目的:分析欧洲胃癌有利趋势的组成部分。方法:根据官方证明的胃癌死亡人数和欧洲地理区域42个国家的人口估计值,在1950年至2007年期间,计算了年龄标准化的死亡率(世界标准人口),并进行了年龄-年龄组分析执行。结果:在2005年至2007年期间发病率较低的中部和北部国家,例如法国(分别为5.28和1.93 / 100,000,男性和女性)和瑞典(分别为4.49和2.21 / 100,000),其下降时期和同龄人效应急剧下降从最早的队列直到1940年代出生,然后稳定下来。以前的非市场经济国家的死亡率分别高于男性和男性的20 / 100,000和10 / 100,000,并且在队列效应下降方面显示出较晚的开始,而在较年轻的队列中则继续。在南欧和东欧一些国家,死亡率仍然很高。结论:在队列和期间效应中均观察到胃癌死亡率的下降,但在队列中更大,表明下降率趋势可能在较高比率的国家继续存在。在少数几个利率很低的西方国家,似乎已达到1940年代以后出生的队列的渐近线,特别是在女性中。

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