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首页> 外文期刊>Asian Economic Journal >China's WTO Commitments in Agriculture and Impacts of Potential OECD Agricultural Trade Liberalizations
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China's WTO Commitments in Agriculture and Impacts of Potential OECD Agricultural Trade Liberalizations

机译：中国入世对农业的承诺以及潜在的经合组织农业贸易自由化的影响

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After accession to the WTO, China's agriculture is affected by the implementation of its WTO commitments and will be impacted by any multilateral liberalization (actions by the rich OECD economies in particular) resulting from the Doha negotiations. Using the actual commitment data, our computable general equilibrium simulation results show that China's WTO commitments will lead to increased agricultural imports and slightly declined outputs in China. The resulting efficiency gains will be negated by terms-of-trade losses, leading to quantitatively small welfare impacts. Furthermore, sectoral results depend critically on correctly representing the more complex policy measures, such as the tariff rate quotas. The negative output effects on Chinese agriculture can be alleviated/reversed if the rich OECD countries commit to reform their agriculture policies. The present paper concludes that trade liberalization should be carried out in both developing and developed countries. Reforming the latter will be particularly helpful in easing the problems facing those developing countries that are carrying out ambitious trade reforms.
机译：加入世贸组织后，中国的农业受到世贸组织承诺的执行的影响，并将受到多哈谈判导致的任何多边自由化（尤其是富裕的经合组织国家的行动）的影响。利用实际的承诺数据，我们的可计算一般均衡模拟结果表明，中国的入世承诺将导致中国农业进口增加而产出略有下降。由此产生的效率提高将被贸易条件损失所抵消，从而在数量上对福利产生小的影响。此外，部门结果在很大程度上取决于正确代表更复杂的政策措施，例如关税配额。如果富裕的经合组织国家致力于改革其农业政策，则可以减轻/消除对中国农业的负面产出影响。本文的结论是，贸易自由化应同时在发展中国家和发达国家进行。改革后者将特别有助于缓解那些进行雄心勃勃的贸易改革的发展中国家所面临的问题。

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