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首页> 外文期刊>International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management >Climate change, vulnerability, and risk linkages
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Climate change, vulnerability, and risk linkages

机译：气候变化，脆弱性和风险联系

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Purpose - This research aims to develop a model that may be used to determine the effective adaptive measures to implement in a system affected by climate change. Design/methodology/approach - The three primary dimensions of the model were individually investigated and then the linkages among them were developed. Specifically, the nature of climate change was examined and the issues emerging from the changes were analyzed. Next, an intensive study of system vulnerabilities was conducted, and the third factor in the model, risk, is then explored. Afterwards, the conceptual framework, which is the foundation of the climate change vulnerability risk model, was devised and the model created. Findings - The model is a three-dimensional matrix with the nature of climate change, vulnerabilities, and risks as its chief dimensions. It identifies the four natures of climate, change, namely: variability, intensity, frequency, and quantity and the vulnerability types to be socio-economic, biophysical, technological, and institutional. Meanwhile, risks are classified as income, biodiversity, health, mortality, and infrastructure risks. Research limitations/implications - The research is the first phase of a three-stage study on the linkages among climate change, vulnerability, and risks. It is the development stage of the framework that exemplifies the interrelationships among these variables and is the basis of the statistical and econometric analyses in the later stages. Originality/value - The climate change vulnerability risk model was developed to act as an analytical guide in understanding the effects of climate change to systems. The model may be used to determine the effective adaptive measures to apply in the system, through a comparative analysis of the variables in the matrix.
机译：目的-这项研究旨在开发一个模型，该模型可用于确定在受气候变化影响的系统中实施的有效适应措施。设计/方法/方法-分别研究了模型的三个主要方面，然后建立了它们之间的联系。具体而言，研究了气候变化的本质，并分析了气候变化带来的问题。接下来，对系统漏洞进行了深入研究，然后探索了模型中的第三个因素，即风险。之后，设计并建立了概念框架，该框架是气候变化脆弱性风险模型的基础。调查结果-该模型是一个三维矩阵，主要特征是气候变化，脆弱性和风险。它确定了气候变化的四个本质，即：变异性，强度，频率和数量，以及社会经济，生物物理，技术和制度上的脆弱性类型。同时，风险分为收入，生物多样性，健康，死亡率和基础设施风险。研究的局限性/意义-该研究是关于气候变化，脆弱性和风险之间关系的三阶段研究的第一阶段。正是框架的发展阶段例证了这些变量之间的相互关系，并且是后期统计和计量经济分析的基础。原创性/价值-开发气候变化脆弱性风险模型，作为了解气候变化对系统影响的分析指南。通过对矩阵中变量的比较分析，该模型可用于确定在系统中应用的有效自适应度量。

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