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The decision Delphi as a tool of technology policy - the Austrian experience

机译:德尔菲决定将其作为技术政策的工具-奥地利的经验

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摘要

Foresight studies have come to be an important instrument of technology policy. No standard form, however, exists; custom-tailoring to the specific needs of the specific country is afforded. The Austrian foresight exercise had to investigate the market niches with a potential for Austrian dominance within the next 15 years. As a tool for this task the instrument of the Decision Delphi was chosen and has been further developed. A Decision Delphi is a bottom-up approach, building on the participation of those persons involved in developing the relevant technologies. It is, therefore, a tool for foresight as well as for coordinating the expectations and decentralized actions. Panels of experts developed the questions in seven fields, selected by a set of preceding studies. The Delphi investigation had two rounds with a response rate of 46% and 71% and a total of 1127 responses at the end. Several interesting results emerged as to the most promising fields and the design of technology policy. [References: 13]
机译:前瞻性研究已成为技术政策的重要手段。但是,不存在标准格式。提供根据特定国家/地区的特定需求量身定制的服务。奥地利的远见演习必须调查在未来15年内有可能在奥地利占主导地位的市场壁ni。作为完成此任务的工具,Decision Delphi的工具被选中并得到了进一步开发。决策Delphi是一种自下而上的方法,其基础是参与开发相关技术的人员的参与。因此,它是一种预见以及协调期望和权力下放行动的工具。专家小组在七个领域中提出了问题,这些问题是通过一系列先前的研究选定的。德尔菲调查进行了两轮,回应率分别为46%和71%,最后共有1127次回应。关于最有前途的领域和技术政策的设计,出现了一些有趣的结果。 [参考:13]

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