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Imprecise Preferences and Survey Design in Contingent Valuation

机译:或有估值中的不精确偏好和调查设计

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During recent years, the contingent valuation (CV) method has been widely used to value non- marketed goods and services We present the results of a CV study of the value of road safety. We find that stated preferences for road safety exhibit considerable imprecision, appear subject to various systematic biases, and are insensitive to variations in the quantity and quality of the safety improvements concerned. One broad implication of these findings may be thai, for an important class of goods (of which safety is one example), standard assumptions about the structure of people's preferences may be much too strong. A more specific implication, concerning the design and conduct of CV surveys, is that the NOAA Panel's widely cited blueprint for 'good CV practice' may rely far too heavily on assumptions about the precision and sensitivity of people's preferences.
机译:近年来,或有评估(CV)方法已被广泛用于对非市场商品和服务进行估值。我们介绍了道路安全价值的CV研究结果。我们发现,陈述的道路安全偏好表现出很大的不准确性,似乎受到各种系统性偏见的影响,并且对相关安全改进的数量和质量的变化不敏感。这些发现的一个广泛含义可能是泰国,对于一类重要的商品(安全性就是其中的一个例子),关于人们偏好结构的标准假设可能过于强大。关于简历调查的设计和进行的一个更具体的含义是,NOAA小组广泛引用的“良好简历实践”蓝图可能过于依赖于人们喜好的准确性和敏感性的假设。

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