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首页> 外文期刊>Forest Policy and Economics >Effects of China's WTO accession on global forest product trade.
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Effects of China's WTO accession on global forest product trade.

机译：加入世界贸易组织对全球林产品贸易的影响。

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摘要

As one of the world's fastest growing economies and important forest product markets, China has recently become a member of the World Trade Organization (WTO) with commitments to further opening its markets to the world. This study analyzes the effects of China's entry into the WTO on global forest product trade using a computable general equilibrium model. Two scenarios are analyzed: (1) unilateral trade liberalization by China resulting from its WTO accession and (2) combination of China's trade liberalization with the Uruguay Round (UR). Our results indicate that China's accession to the WTO would significantly increase its imports of forest products and reduce its domestic market prices of lumber and wood products as well as pulp, paper, and allied products. Most of Chinese new imports would be used as intermediate goods by industries to produce final products for domestic consumption and re-export. The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and the Asian New Industrializing Economies would benefit most from the unilateral trade liberalization by China. The combination of China's WTO accession and the UR would strengthen the competitiveness of North America and the European Union in Chinese forest product markets. Although China's accession to the WTO would affect forest product trade flows between China and its trade partners, it would have relatively small impacts on the world price, production, and trade value of forest products..
机译：作为世界上增长最快的经济体和重要的森林产品市场之一，中国最近已成为世界贸易组织（WTO）的成员，并承诺进一步向世界开放其市场。本研究使用可计算的一般均衡模型分析了中国加入世界贸易组织对全球林产品贸易的影响。分析了两种情况：（1）中国因加入世贸组织而进行的单方面贸易自由化;（2）中国贸易自由化与乌拉圭回合（UR）的结合。我们的结果表明，中国加入世贸组织将大大增加其林产品的进口，并降低其木材和木制品以及纸浆，纸张和相关产品的国内市场价格。中国大多数新进口产品将被工业用作中间产品，以生产最终产品供国内消费和再出口。东南亚国家联盟（ASEAN）和亚洲新兴工业化经济体将从中国的单方面贸易自由化中受益最大。加入世贸组织和乌拉圭回合将增强北美和欧盟在中国林产品市场上的竞争力。尽管中国加入世贸组织将影响中国与其贸易伙伴之间的林产品贸易流量，但对林产品的世界价格，产量和贸易价值的影响相对较小。

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