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Models for reproducing the damage scenario of the Lorca earthquake

机译:重现洛尔卡地震破坏情景的模型

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摘要

Adamage scenario modelling is developed and compared with the damage distribution observed after the 2011 Lorca earthquake. The strong ground motionmodels considered include five modern ground motion prediction equations (GMPEs) amply used worldwide. Capacity and fragility curves from the Risk-UE project are utilized to model building vulnerability and expected damage. Damage estimates resulting from different combinations of GMPEand capacity/fragility curves are compared with the actual damage scenario, establishing the combination that best explains the observed damage distribution. In addition, some recommendations are proposed, including correction factors in fragility curves in order to reproduce in a better way the observed damage in masonry and reinforce concrete buildings. The lessons learned would contribute to improve the simulation of expected damages due to future earthquakes in Lorca or other regions in Spain with similar characteristics regarding attenuation and vulnerability.
机译:开发了Adamage情景模型,并将其与2011年洛尔卡地震后观察到的破坏分布进行了比较。所考虑的强地面运动模型包括全世界广泛使用的五个现代地面运动预测方程(GMPE)。 Risk-UE项目的容量和脆弱性曲线用于对建筑物的脆弱性和预期损害进行建模。将由GMPE和容量/脆弱性曲线的不同组合得出的破坏估计与实际破坏情况进行比较,从而建立最能解释观察到的破坏分布的组合。此外,还提出了一些建议,包括脆弱性曲线中的校正因子,以便更好地重现所观察到的砖石结构损坏和加固混凝土建筑物。所汲取的经验教训将有助于改进对因洛尔卡或西班牙其他地区未来地震而造成的预期损失的模拟,这些地震在衰减和脆弱性方面具有相似的特征。

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