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Assessment of the benefits of the Chinese Public Weather Service

机译:中国公共气象服务的效益评估

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The present study aims to understand the public opinion on the Chinese Public Weather Service and evaluate its benefits. Statistics based on a nationwide survey conducted in China in 2006 show that the receipt and perception of weather information vary across different ages and groups. People obtain weather information from various sources (television ranks first); younger generations favour new media. There is a high demand for information services related to severe weather and short-range weather, which have the largest impact on daily lives and professional needs. The respondents' satisfaction with the current weather service and forecast accuracy are very high, although the accuracy of weather forecasts requires improvements. The benefits of the Chinese Public Weather Service and cost-benefit ratios are evaluated via direct, indirect and reverse willingness-to-pay evaluation models. For the entire country, the benefit of the Chinese Public Weather Service is estimated to be at least 46.482 billion Chinese Yuan (CNY), which accounted for 0.22% of the Chinese gross domestic product (GDP) in 2006; the national cost-benefit ratio is 1:26. The regional cost-benefit ratios of the Chinese Public Weather Service exhibit a wide range from 1:2 to 1:81 over different provincial-level regions. The cost-benefit ratios are much higher in economically developed areas (Central and East China) than in economically underdeveloped areas (Northwest China). The social development level, especially certain aspects of primary industry and transportation, is closely related to the cost-benefit ratio of the Chinese Public Weather Service. These findings can assist the China Meteorological Administration and its supervised meteorological bureaus in providing a weather service that meets the public needs effectively.
机译:本研究旨在了解公众对中国公共天气服务的看法并评估其好处。根据2006年在中国进行的一项全国调查得出的统计数据表明,天气信息的接收和感知因年龄和群体而异。人们从各种来源获取天气信息(电视排名第一);年轻的一代青睐新媒体。对与恶劣天气和短距离天气有关的信息服务的需求很高,这对日常生活和专业需求的影响最大。尽管天气预报的准确性有待提高,但受访者对当前天气预报和预报准确性的满意度很高。中国公共天气服务的优势和成本效益比通过直接,间接和反向意愿付费评估模型进行评估。就整个国家而言,中国公共天气服务的收益估计至少为468.82亿元人民币,占2006年中国国内生产总值的0.22%。全国成本效益比为1:26。在不同的省级地区,中国公共天气服务的区域成本效益比在1:2到1:81的范围内。经济发达地区(中部和华东地区)的成本效益比远高于经济欠发达地区(中国西北部)。社会发展水平,特别是第一产业和运输业的某些方面,与中国公共气象服务的成本效益比密切相关。这些发现可以帮助中国气象局及其监管的气象部门提供有效满足公众需求的气象服务。

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