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首页> 外文期刊>Berichte des Meteorologischen Institutes der Universitat Freiburg >Climate change impact assessment in winter tourism
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Climate change impact assessment in winter tourism

机译：冬季旅游中的气候变化影响评估

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摘要

A ski season simulation model ("SkiSim 2.0") was developed to simulate ski season length and snowmaking requirements. Maximum differences between modelled and measured ski season length at three sample ski areas of two days mark SkiSim 2.0 as an appropriate tool for assessments on the impact of climate change on winter tourism. The snow reliable skiing terrain is projected to be reduced by 3 %, 12 % and 29 % until the 2030s, 2050s and 2080s (A 1B scenario).The required increase of snow production of 24-79 % suggests that economic limits of snowmaking might be reached earlier than climatic limits.
机译：开发了滑雪季节模拟模型（“ SkiSim 2.0”）以模拟滑雪季节长度和造雪需求。在为期两天的三个样本滑雪场中，模型化的滑雪季节长度与测量的滑雪季节长度之间的最大差异将SkiSim 2.0视为评估气候变化对冬季旅游业影响的适当工具。到2030s，2050s和2080s（A 1B情景）之前，预计雪雪可靠的滑雪地形将减少3％，12％和29％。所需的降雪量增加24-79％，表明造雪的经济极限可能早于气候极限。

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