• 主题
高级搜索  >
历史搜索 清空历史
首页> 外文期刊>Berichte des Meteorologischen Institutes der Universitat Freiburg >Changes in heat related mortality in Vienna based on regional climate models
【24h】

Changes in heat related mortality in Vienna based on regional climate models

机译：基于区域气候模型的维也纳与热相关的死亡率变化

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例
       
页面导航
  • 摘要
  • 著录项
  • 相似文献
  • 相关主题

摘要

The development of mortality due to heat stress in Vienna was assesses by using two regional climate models in the emissions scenarios AIB and B 1 . Heat stress was described using the human-biometeorological index PET. Two approaches were applied, to estimate the increases with and without long-term adaptation. Until 2011-2040 no significant changes compared to 1971-2000 were found. In the following decades heat-related mortality could increase up to 129% until the end of the century, if no adaptation takes place. The strongest increase occurred due to extreme heat stress (PET ≥ 41℃). With long-term adaptation the increase is less pronounced,but still notably. This encourages the need for additional adaptation measurements.
机译：通过在排放情景AIB和B 1中使用两个区域气候模型评估了维也纳因热应激而导致的死亡率的发展。使用人类生物气象指数PET描述了热应激。应用了两种方法来估计有和没有长期适应的增加。直到2011-2040年，与1971-2000年相比，没有发现重大变化。在接下来的几十年中，如果不采取任何措施，到本世纪末，与热有关的死亡率可能会增加129％。最大的增加是由于极端的热应力（PET≥41℃）引起的。通过长期适应，这种增加并不明显，但仍然很明显。这鼓励了对其他适应性测量的需求。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱：kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备：11010802029741号 ICP备案号：京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有

  • 客服微信

  • 服务号